A £2,300 bet has been placed on Polymarket, the online prediction market, that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by July 31. The trade suggests the market believes there is around a 43% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced by that date.
The large trade was made by a user named 'Complicated-Damage'. Polymarket allows people to bet on the outcomes of future events, with the market prices reflecting the collective predictions of participants.