A large £2.7k bet has been placed on the Polymarket platform that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by July 31. The trade suggests the market sees around a ~97% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced by that date.
The sizeable wager comes amid growing pressure on the PM, with the Polymarket market implying a high likelihood of Starmer's exit in the coming weeks. Starmer has faced calls from some Labour MPs to step down, though he has vowed to continue in the role.