A large £6,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 22nd, suggesting an ~86% chance the resignation will be announced by that date.
The trade, made by user 'Ample-Instance', is the latest sign of growing pressure on the Prime Minister. The Polymarket market implies a high likelihood Starmer will step down in the coming weeks, though no official announcement has been made.