A large £2,800 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade suggests the market currently implies around a 28% chance Starmer remains PM by that date.
The anonymous trader 'Determined-Valuable' closed the position, suggesting they believe Starmer is likely to still be Prime Minister in late June. Polymarket is a popular prediction market where users can bet on political outcomes.