A Polymarket trader has placed a £956 bet that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30, suggesting around a 35% chance that he remains PM past that date.
The trade, made by 'Different-Machinery', closed a position backing Starmer to be in power on June 30. The market currently implies a ~35% probability that the Prime Minister will still be leading the Labour Party on that date.