A large £2.9k Polymarket bet suggests Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to resign by October 31, according to the market's implied probability of around 100%. The trade, made by user 'Compassionate-Kneejerk', indicates a high degree of confidence Starmer will step down as PM in the coming weeks.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's future is closely watched as a real-time indicator of political sentiment. The £2.9k stake, one of the largest trades on the platform, underscores the growing belief that Starmer's tenure as Prime Minister may be coming to an end sooner than expected.