The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 30 have fallen to around 11% in the Polymarket prediction market, down from 18% previously. This ~7 percentage point shift suggests decreasing expectations of Starmer's departure before the end of the month.
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of future events. The changing odds reflect the collective views of market participants on the likelihood of Starmer remaining as PM beyond June 30.