Odds of PM Starmer resigning by June 30 surge to ~99%

· market re-priced ·June 30

Briefing

Odds that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign by June 30 have surged to around 99% on the Polymarket prediction platform, up from 92% previously.

The dramatic shift in market sentiment comes amid growing speculation about Starmer's political future. Polymarket bettors now see a near-certainty that the Prime Minister will step down in the coming weeks.