A £3,946 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 21. The large trade suggests the market currently implies around a ~0% chance that Starmer will have resigned or been ousted by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Lean-Trolley', opened the position, betting that Starmer will remain as PM. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of future events.