A £6,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 21, according to the market data. The large trade suggests a ~0% chance that Starmer will have resigned or been ousted by that date.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's future has seen a significant wager from a trader known as 'Obvious-Erosion', who has opened a position betting that the Prime Minister will remain in power on June 21. This indicates the market currently sees almost no prospect of Starmer departing before that time.