A £4,249 Polymarket bet has been placed on the outcome that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 30. The trade implies around a ~16% chance that Starmer will not have resigned or been ousted by that date.
The large trade suggests some market participants believe the Prime Minister is likely to weather the current political storm and remain in power in the coming months, despite growing calls from within his own party for him to step down.