The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by August 31 have plunged by 41 percentage points, from ~86% to just 44% on Polymarket. The dramatic shift in market sentiment comes amid growing speculation about Starmer's political future.
Polymarket is a leading prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of future events. The sharp decline in the odds of Starmer's resignation by the end of August suggests increased confidence that the PM will remain in office beyond that date.