A large £4.7k Polymarket bet suggests Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to leave Downing Street by June 30, according to market data. The trade, made by a user called 'Weird-Freedom', implies around a ~100% chance Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's departure date has seen significant trading activity in recent days, with the implied probability of an exit by June 30 rising sharply. This latest £4.7k wager appears to further cement the market's view that the Prime Minister's time in office may be coming to an end within the next few months.