A £17,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by July 31, with the market signaling a ~100% chance of his resignation being announced by that date.
The large trade from the user 'Harmless-Baseball' comes amid growing speculation about Starmer's political future. The market's implied probability suggests the Prime Minister's resignation is all but certain to be confirmed within the next two months.