PM Starmer tipped to leave No.10 by July 31 after £58k Polymarket bet

· large trade ·July 31

Briefing

A large £58,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket suggesting Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to leave Downing Street by July 31, according to market data. The trade implies around a ~100% chance Starmer will announce his resignation by that date.

The anonymous trader, known as 'Profitable-Recorder', opened the position, signalling strong confidence in Starmer's imminent departure from office. The high-stakes wager underscores growing speculation around the Prime Minister's political future.