A £4,000 bet has been placed on Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by New Year's Eve, according to Polymarket data. The trade suggests around a 77% chance the Prime Minister will announce his resignation before the end of the year.
The large wager was opened by a trader known as 'Capital-Eviction'. Polymarket markets tracking Starmer's political future currently imply a high likelihood of the Labour leader departing Number 10 by 31 December.