A large £5,700 bet placed on the Polymarket platform suggests Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to resign from office by December 31, according to the market's implied probability of around 100%.
The trader, known as 'Compassionate-Kneejerk', opened a position indicating high confidence that Starmer's resignation will be announced before the new year, in line with the platform's 'Starmer leaving Downing Street by December 31' contract.