Keir Starmer's odds of remaining as Prime Minister past June 25 have surged to around 99%, according to the latest Polymarket betting data. This marks a 6 percentage point increase from earlier projections.
The sharp rise in Starmer's implied probability of staying in office past the June 25 date suggests growing confidence in the Labour leader's political future. However, the PM will be closely watched in the coming weeks as he navigates a challenging political landscape.