The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 24 have surged to around 99%, up from 94% previously. The dramatic shift in the Polymarket prediction market suggests growing confidence that the PM will step down in the coming weeks.
This latest move comes amid intense political pressure on Starmer and speculation about his future. While the Prime Minister has vowed to remain in office, the betting markets now indicate an ~86% chance he will have announced his resignation by the end of next month.