A large £921 bet has been placed on Polymarket indicating an ~81% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 22. The trade, made by user Ample-Instance, suggests the market sees a high likelihood of Starmer remaining as PM past that date.
The June 22 date market is a 'yes/no' contract, where 'yes' means Starmer's resignation will be announced by that point, and 'no' means he is still PM. This latest sizeable wager points to the market assessing Starmer as likely to hold on to power in the coming months.