A £1,500 bet has been placed on Polymarket, the online prediction market, that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 21. The large trade suggests the market believes there is virtually no chance of Starmer resigning or being ousted before that date.
The bet, made by a trader using the handle 'Simple-Tradition', represents a significant wager that Starmer will remain as PM beyond the June 21 deadline. Polymarket's data indicates the market currently assigns around a 0% probability of Starmer leaving office by that point.