A Polymarket prediction market has shifted the implied resignation date for Prime Minister Keir Starmer later by 8 days, from 1 November 2026 to 9 November 2026. This comes as the PM faces growing pressure from within his own party, with the number of Labour MPs publicly demanding his resignation now at around ~86%.
The shift in Polymarket's implied exit date suggests increased uncertainty over Starmer's future, as the Prime Minister battles to maintain his grip on power. The market's new forecast suggests a ~86% chance Starmer will still be in office on 9 November 2026, compared to the previous ~86% probability of his resignation by 1 November.