PM Starmer's resignation date brought forward by 2 days to 27 Sept 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has been brought forward by two days, from 29 September 2026 to 27 September 2026, according to the latest Polymarket betting data.

The shift in the implied resignation date suggests increased market confidence that Starmer will step down as Labour leader and PM prior to the end of September 2026.