PM Starmer's resignation date moves back by 2 days to 30 Sept 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The Prime Minister's resignation date has been pushed back by 2 days, from 27 September 2026 to 30 September 2026, according to the latest Polymarket data. The shift comes amid ongoing speculation about Starmer's political future.

The ~86% probability of Starmer resigning by the new 30 September 2026 date suggests the Prime Minister may be facing increasing pressure to step down in the coming weeks and months.