The expected date for Prime Minister Keir Starmer's resignation has been pushed back by 5 days, from 2 October to 7 October, according to the latest Polymarket data.
The change suggests the market now sees Starmer as slightly more likely to remain in office past the original projected date, though the probability of his departure by 7 October is still around ~86%.
The new date gives Starmer a short extension, though he continues to face growing pressure from rebel Labour MPs to step down.