A £1,113 Polymarket bet has been placed on Keir Starmer remaining as Prime Minister past the June 30 date. The trade implies around a 14% chance that Starmer will still be in office on that date, according to the market.
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of future events. The latest trade suggests some market participants believe Starmer is likely to stay on as PM beyond the end of June.