A large £3,560 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on July 31. The trade implies the market sees around a ~38% chance Starmer will leave before that date.
The high-stakes wager comes as pressure mounts on the PM, with some Labour MPs publicly calling for him to resign. However, the Polymarket data suggests Starmer is still favoured to remain in Downing Street for now.