A large £17,000 Polymarket bet has been placed on Keir Starmer remaining as Prime Minister beyond June 30, indicating a ~13% chance the Labour leader will still be in office at that point.
The anonymous trader 'Different-Machinery' opened the position, suggesting Starmer is likely to survive as PM through the summer. The high-stakes wager highlights the uncertainty around Starmer's political future as he faces growing pressure from Labour rebels.