Prime Minister Keir Starmer's expected resignation date has been pushed back by 2 days to 26 August 2026, according to the latest Polymarket data. The shift comes as markets assess the PM's political standing following recent developments.
The change in the implied resignation date from 24 August to 26 August represents a ~86% chance that Starmer will still be in office on that later date, up from the previous ~86% probability of him resigning by the earlier deadline.