PM Starmer's expected resignation date pushed back by 2 days to 24 Aug 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

According to Polymarket, the implied date for Prime Minister Keir Starmer's resignation has been pushed back by 2 days to 24 August 2026. The market previously pointed to 22 August as the likely exit date.

The shift in the expected resignation date comes as the PM continues to face pressure from within his own party. Starmer's future remains uncertain as the Labour leadership faces growing internal divisions.