PM Starmer's resignation date moves £1k earlier to 23 Aug 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has shifted £1,000 earlier, from 25 August 2026 to 23 August 2026, according to the latest Polymarket data.

This ~86% implied probability move suggests growing market confidence in Starmer's departure before the end of August 2026.