The expected resignation date for Prime Minister Keir Starmer has been pushed back by 3 days, according to the latest Polymarket data. The new expected resignation date is now 26 August 2026, up from the previous 23 August.
The shift in Starmer's expected exit date comes as the Prime Minister continues to face pressure from within his own party. The implied probability of Starmer resigning by the new 26 August date is currently around ~86%.