PM Starmer's resignation date shifts to 10 September, Polymarket bettors say

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

Prime Minister Keir Starmer's potential resignation date has been pushed back by two days, according to Polymarket betting markets. The implied exit date has shifted from 8 September to 10 September, with bettors now ~86% confident Starmer will still be PM on that later date.

The change comes as no surprise, with Starmer's position appearing increasingly secure in recent weeks. Polymarket punters have wagered over £1,000 on the PM remaining in office beyond the original 8 September deadline.