A £867 Polymarket bet has been placed indicating a ~75% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on December 31. The trade closed the 'Starmer still in office on December 31' position.
The Polymarket market implies around an 86% probability that Starmer will remain PM by the end of the year. This latest £900 wager suggests the trader believes the Labour leader is likely to hold onto power in the coming months.