PM STARMER'S RESIGNATION DEADLINE PUSHED BACK BY 1 DAY

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The deadline for Prime Minister Keir Starmer to announce his resignation has been extended by 1 day, from 22nd September 2026 to 23rd September 2026, according to the latest Polymarket data.

This shift in the implied resignation date suggests the market now believes there is a ~86% chance Starmer will still be PM on 23rd September 2026, up slightly from the previous estimate.