PM Starmer's resignation date pushed back by 3 days to 12 September 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has been pushed back by 3 days, from 10 September 2026 to 12 September 2026, according to the latest Polymarket betting data.

The shift in the implied resignation date comes amid ongoing speculation around Keir Starmer's political future as Labour leader and PM. The ~86% probability of his departure by the new date suggests uncertainty remains over his long-term prospects.