A prominent trader has placed a £4,076 bet on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The market currently implies around a 14% chance Starmer remains PM by that date.
The large trade, made by the user 'Kosher-Refuse', suggests the trader expects Starmer to survive any potential leadership challenge in the coming months. Polymarket is a decentralised prediction market platform used to bet on political and economic events.