A £2,289 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on December 31, 2023. The trade implies an ~80% chance Starmer remains PM past that date.
The large trade on the December 31 Starmer resignation market suggests the trader believes the Prime Minister is likely to survive in his role beyond the end of this year. Polymarket's data shows the market is pricing in around an 80% probability of Starmer staying in power.