PM Starmer's expected resignation date pushed back by 2 days

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

Prime Minister Keir Starmer's expected resignation date has been pushed back by 2 days, from 17 August 2026 to 19 August 2026, according to Polymarket data.

The shift in Starmer's implied resignation date comes amid ongoing speculation about his political future. The ~86% probability that he will have stepped down by the new date suggests uncertainty remains high around the Prime Minister's plans.