A £2,031 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by July 31. The trade implies around a ~37% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The 'Yes' token in the market, which pays out if Starmer departs as PM by July 31, is trading at a price suggesting the odds of that outcome are approximately 37%. The large £2k stake suggests a high-confidence wager on Starmer's early exit from office.