A large £884 Polymarket bet has been placed on the outcome that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 15, according to data from the prediction market platform. The trade by user 'Pessimistic-Confidence' suggests a ~0% chance that Starmer will have resigned by that date.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's premiership has an implied exit probability of 0% by June 15, indicating strong confidence the PM will remain in power beyond that point. However, the overall political landscape remains fluid as Starmer faces ongoing challenges.