The deadline for Prime Minister Keir Starmer's resignation has shifted 3 days later, from 21 Aug to 25 Aug, according to Polymarket. This suggests the odds of Starmer leaving office by the original date have decreased to ~86%.
The change comes as the political landscape evolves ahead of the next general election. Starmer has faced growing pressure from some Labour MPs, but remains in office for now as the party prepares its manifesto.