The Prime Minister's implied resignation date has been moved up by 3 days, from 25 August 2026 to 22 August 2026, according to Polymarket data. This suggests the market sees an increased likelihood of Keir Starmer stepping down as PM before the end of August 2026.
The shift in the implied exit date comes as the Labour government faces growing pressure and speculation around the Prime Minister's future. However, Starmer has repeatedly stated his intention to lead the party into the next general election.