The date by which Keir Starmer is expected to announce his resignation as Prime Minister has been pushed back by 4 days, from 2 Aug 2026 to 5 Aug 2026. This follows the latest market movements on Polymarket, which now imply an ~86% chance Starmer will still be PM on that later date.
The shift in the expected resignation timeline comes as the political landscape continues to evolve. Starmer's future as PM remains uncertain, with the public closely watching for any developments that could impact the timing of his potential departure from Downing Street.
Polymarket traders are closely monitoring the situation, with the platform providing real-time data and analysis on the likelihood of key political events. The updated resignation date will be a focus for both supporters and critics of the Prime Minister in the coming weeks.