A £1,800 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30, according to the market data. The trade suggests around a 24% chance that Starmer will remain PM past that date.
The large trade was made by the user 'Stylish-Instrument' and represents a significant wager that Starmer will not be forced out before the end of June. Polymarket markets on the PM's future are closely watched by political analysts.