A large £5,100 bet has been placed on Keir Starmer leaving his role as Prime Minister by December 31, according to data from the Polymarket prediction platform. The market currently implies around an 86% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The trade, made by an anonymous user known as 'Small-Pompom', represents a significant wager on the Labour leader's political future. Polymarket is a popular platform for trading on the outcomes of real-world events.