A £3,200 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade suggests the market currently implies around a 20% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The large trade by an anonymous user codenamed 'Stylish-Instrument' indicates some uncertainty over whether Starmer will depart Downing Street in the coming months. Polymarket is a popular platform for betting on political events.