A large £6,800 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 30. The trade implies around a 21% chance that Starmer will remain as PM past that date.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's future as PM is closely watched by political observers. The latest £6.8k trade suggests a majority view that Starmer is likely to depart Downing Street before the end of June.