A £3,100 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by December 31. The market currently implies an ~84% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by the end of the year.
The large trade was made by a user known as 'Windy-Jacket', who opened a position backing Starmer's exit from Number 10 before the new year. Polymarket is a prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of political events.