A £3,200 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office past June 30, according to the market's data. The trade suggests around a 20% chance that Starmer will still be PM on that date.
The large position, opened by a trader named 'Stylish-Instrument', indicates some confidence that Starmer will not be forced to resign or be ousted before the end of June. However, the market still implies a significant probability of an earlier exit.