The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in power by August 31 have fallen by 5 percentage points to around 61% on Polymarket, a popular political betting platform. This comes as the market has shifted its expectations on Starmer's future as Labour leader.
The £1,000 Polymarket bet on Starmer being PM on August 31 is now trading at lower odds, reflecting increased uncertainty around his political future in the coming months.